Why The U.s. Government Is Not The Savior Intel Needs

Trending 1 week ago

The Trump management made an unprecedented, and confusing, move past week erstwhile it announced plans to person money Intel was expected to person done Joe Biden-era authorities assistance programs into a 10% equity stake.

While it remains unclear if converting those authorities grants into equity is moreover imaginable — that’s up for debate — it’s moreover little evident really this move will lick Intel’s biggest problem, its waffling foundry business. Even Intel is unconvinced.

Intel Foundry, which manufactures civilization semiconductors for extracurricular customers, has not been fruitful for nan company. The business section mislaid retired connected imaginable large contracts, for illustration 1 pinch Sony, according to Reuters, and has costs nan institution importantly much than it has brought in.

Intel Foundry reported an operating income nonaccomplishment of $3.1 billion successful nan 2nd quarter. The institution has besides laid disconnected thousands of group since nan opening of nan twelvemonth pinch nan foundry business portion being deed particularly hard.

Differences complete really Intel would turnaround its struggling foundry business was partially responsible for Lip-Bu Tan’s resignation from nan institution committee successful August 2024. Tan was appointed CEO successful outpouring 2025.

Kevin Cassidy, a managing head astatine Rosenblatt Securities, told TechCrunch he doesn’t spot really this woody will lick Intel’s problems. Intel Foundry doesn’t request money to lick its issues, he said, alternatively it needs to alteration its attack to its customers.

“They didn’t understand customer service,” Cassidy said of Intel Foundry’s struggles to motion customers. “They person ever manufactured internally, nan manufacturing group was king. It’s difficult to beryllium a customer service-focused group erstwhile you deliberation you cognize better.”

Intel did not respond to a petition for comment.

Techcrunch event

San Francisco | October 27-29, 2025

Ripple effect

Intel precocious acknowledged nan imaginable downsides of this woody successful an SEC filing posted Monday. The institution highlighted nan risks it carries for its investors and customers — two groups of group Intel people relies on.

This woody dilutes existing shareholders and reduces their governance rights. The Trump management said it would ballot alongside Intel’s interests, which could thief nan institution move its ideas forward; but business decisions that actively sour an existing investor guidelines conflicts pinch efforts to drum up investor interest.

“I would beryllium disappointed if I was a stockholder,” Cassidy said. “Intel gave up different 430 cardinal shares, and diluted my shares, and [they] were capable to bargain it astatine a 20% discount.”

Intel besides mentioned nan imaginable effect this could person connected its world business. The immense mostly of nan company’s gross successful its past fiscal year, 76%, came from extracurricular nan U.S., nan institution reported.

Amid nan existent U.S.-led world waste and acquisition turmoil, companies extracurricular nan United States will now person to grapple pinch whether aliases not to activity pinch a institution partially owned by nan U.S. government.

Sending signals

Not everyone is punishment and gloom astir nan caller transaction. Cody Acree, managing head and elder investigation expert astatine Benchmark Company, told TechCrunch he doesn’t spot nan company’s world customers shying distant from Intel.

Acree said nan woody isn’t perfect, but nan government’s committedness to Intel’s early whitethorn springiness nan chipmaker nan boost it needs — even if it’s conscionable a mini measurement connected a agelong roadworthy to recovery.

“Intel has shown that it’s been struggling for nan past decade and whitethorn request immoderate benignant of authorities intervention, a bail retired is astir apt excessively harsh of a term, but nan authorities involution is being seen arsenic astatine slightest a stepping chromatic toward reinvigorating Intel,” Acree said. “I don’t needfully work together pinch it being a fix-all by immoderate means. It’s astatine slightest encouraging to cognize that nan authorities is backing Intel alternatively of challenging nan activity arsenic they were a period ago.”

Andrew Rocco, a banal strategist astatine Zacks Investment Research, agreed that a woody pinch nan U.S. authorities could beryllium positive. In an question and reply earlier nan woody was formally announced, Rocco said that this could springiness Intel a bigger domiciled successful nan administration’s existent push for home AI prowess done initiatives for illustration OpenAI, SoftBank, and Oracle’s Stargate initiative and bringing semiconductor manufacturing stateside.

“The marketplace is going to beryllium truthful big, nan datacenter and spot market, moreover if they get a mini slice,” Rocco said. “There is room for them to succeed. This will beryllium a positive. You person to person a five-to-10-year clip horizon.”

Still, some analysts cautioned nan woody won’t beryllium Intel’s savior. For a true, long-standing rescue, Intel needs to look inward.

While nan Trump management claims it will beryllium a passive investor, that doesn’t mean its engagement can’t drum up business for nan company, Acree said. While that hopefully wouldn’t travel from unit aliases force, Cassidy said, it decidedly could.

Even though nan authorities mightiness not person to. Unlike higher education, firm America has proven itself much than happy to thin toward nan Trump administration’s goals and policies. Companies person gutted their diversity, equity, and inclusion programs — despite hurting themselves successful nan process. A prevalence of pro-America sentiment has go saturated successful advertisements and company communication since Donald Trump took agency successful January.

If nan Trump management tells American companies to bargain Intel’s chips and hardware, they mightiness not person to do arsenic overmuch convincing to get companies connected board.

Acree and Cassidy said nan existent trial for Intel won’t beryllium nan deal, aliases moreover nan optics of it. It will beryllium whether Intel tin drum up liking for its 14A chipmaking processor. Tan has said nan institution would not commencement accumulation connected its 14A chipmaking process until they secured important customer interest.

“There is still nary guarantee that Intel is going to beryllium capable to travel backmost into nan marketplace astatine nan starring edge,” Cassidy said. “Intel has been burning rate for rather a fewer years, I don’t cognize if it is conscionable much money to bargain clip to find nan look to get them backmost connected nan starring edge.”

More