There is ever a consciousness of phoney warfare successful nan run-in to nan Tour de France’s first shape successful nan precocious mountains, and astatine slightest 1 statement of nan opening 10 days of this year’s title fits that discourse to a T. Has Jonas Vingegaard’s Visma-Lease a Bike squad astatine times been towing nan bunch deliberately successful bid to guarantee that Tadej Pogacar retains nan yellowish jersey? It’s a gloriously arcane question, nan benignant that only comes up successful nan Tour’s opening phase, but it distracts from a constituent that could beryllium cardinal successful nan adjacent 10 days: really nan 2 teams negociate nan title will astir apt beryllium decisive.
Firstly, a little explainer. The received contented successful cycling lore is that holding nan yellowish jersey early successful a Grand Tour tin beryllium arsenic overmuch a curse arsenic a blessing, because nan regular media and podium duties trim into betterment time. Hence nan reasoning goes that Visma mightiness person been chasing down nan overseas move purposely to support Pogacar successful nan maillot jaune, truthful that he will beryllium answering media questions and hanging astir waiting to spell connected nan podium, while Vingegaard has his feet up. Only Visma’s guidance cognize if this was nan case, but what is definite is that nan febrile ambiance betwixt nan 2 teams will intensify from present connected in.
In that context, Monday’s slog done nan Massif Central was a people tie betwixt nan 2 armadas. Pogacar could spend to suffer yellowish to Ben Healy of Ireland arsenic it buys his UAE squad immoderate down clip astatine slightest connected Wednesday and Thursday, erstwhile Healy’s EF squad will person to power nan race. On nan different hand, Simon Yates’s opportunistic shape triumph connected Monday redressed nan equilibrium a small successful favour of Visma; astatine this shape of the Tour, immoderate magnitude of affirmative momentum is welcome.
The reside had been group for nan opening 10 days – and perchance nan full Tour – astir 15km from nan decorativeness of nan first shape into Lille connected 5 July erstwhile Vingegaard and his lieutenants Matteo Jorgenson and Edoardo Affini surged to nan beforehand of nan peloton successful a transverse upwind and divided nan race. Pogacar was not to beryllium caught out, but only 1 of his men made nan divided of astir 40; Vingegaard, connected nan different hand, had 3 pinch him.
Visma person nary action but to effort to find openings, to probe UAE’s defences perpetually to activity nan azygous chink successful nan armour that whitethorn alteration their leader to propulsion backmost immoderate of his 1min 17sec shortage to Pogacar. Hence an abortive effort to divided nan section connected Sunday into Châteauroux led by Wout van Aert, and Monday’s classical show of tactical upland racing, pinch Yates and nan Belgian Victor Campenaerts sent up successful a breakaway conscionable successful lawsuit either Vingegaard aliases Jorgenson managed to elude Pogacar and his men.
This benignant of racing has paid monolithic dividends for nan Dutch squad successful nan past, astir precocious astatine nan Giro d’Italia, wherever Yates managed an improbable wide triumph pinch nan support of Van Aert, astatine nan disbursal of UAE’s starlet Isaac del Toro. The script that is nan worldly of nightmares for nan UAE guidance is nan 1 that Visma (in their erstwhile incarnation arsenic Jumbo-Visma) engineered successful 2022, erstwhile UAE were first reduced successful numbers by illness, and were past put to nan beard by Vingegaard, Van Aert and Primoz Roglic successful nan Alps.
Roglic has moved on, but Jorgenson is an capable replacement; he has doubly won nan Paris-Nice shape title and vanished eighth successful nan Tour past twelvemonth while supporting Vingegaard. The evident maneuver for Visma successful nan adjacent 10 days will beryllium to pain disconnected Pogacar’s support riders to technologist a business successful which nan Slovenian ends up connected his ain connected a upland pinch Jorgenson and Vingegaard, who tin onslaught him 1 by one. Pogacar whitethorn good beryllium adjacent to nan task, but location is only 1 measurement to find out. Any 1 of nan 4 precocious upland stages successful nan Alps and Pyrenees would beryllium adequate, and they only request Pogacar to flinch once.
Nerves will person been sharpened by João Almeida’s dense clang connected Friday en way to Mûr-de-Bretagne, which forced him to discontinue nan title connected Sunday. With Rafal Majka sitting retired this Tour, that has deprived nan double Tour victor of his main upland wingman. Almeida – “the champion teammate successful nan world,” arsenic Pogacar put it – would person provided important support: he has notched up 9 wins this year, including nan Tour of Switzerland.
“Someone will person to measurement in,” said nan UAE head of sport, Simone Pedrazzini, but nan uncomfortable truth is that Almeida offered a back-up option, a man who could people a breakaway and perchance activity towards finishing connected nan podium. Neither Adam Yates aliases Jhonatan Narváez is simply a like-for-like replacement, while different UAE climber, Pavel Sivakov, looked distinctly retired of sorts connected Sunday and Monday. UAE will request him to retrieve during Tuesday’s remainder day.
There are questions astir Visma arsenic well. Yates’s shape triumph connected Monday suggests he is backmost to apical shape aft his struggles connected nan opening stage, but frankincense acold Van Aert has blown basking and cold, wholly absent astatine times, awkward of his champion astatine others, but tin of finishing 2nd to Jonathan Milan connected Saturday into Laval. It remains to beryllium seen if he is simply riding himself successful having taken a break aft nan Giro.
In past Tours, he has proven tin of smashing nan full title into smithereens connected immoderate upland stage, and if Visma are hoping to return the fight to UAE successful nan adjacent 10 days, they request him to quickly rediscover that aforesaid blistering form.