Published on August 26, 2025
Malta is experiencing a historical surge successful airfare prices, pinch costs soaring by forty-six percent successful 2025. This unprecedented emergence is chiefly driven by nan post-pandemic tourism boom, wherever recreation request has outpaced nan capacity of airlines to meet it. As inbound tourism continues to turn astatine a accelerated pace, airlines are struggling to support up, resulting successful important inflationary unit connected airfare prices. This crisp summation not only sets Malta isolated from different European countries but besides presents challenges for travelers, pinch airfares now playing a awesome domiciled successful nan country’s wide ostentation rate. The business is expected to easiness by 2027, pinch ostentation projected to return to its semipermanent mean of astir 3 percent.
Airfares successful Malta person soared to unprecedented heights, pinch nan costs of aerial rider carrier rising by a staggering 46% successful April 2025 compared to nan aforesaid period successful 2024. This crisp summation is chiefly attributed to a booming post-pandemic tourism industry, which has pushed rider numbers to transcend pre-2019 levels. Unfortunately, nan disposable spot capacity has struggled to support up pinch nan surge successful demand, creating a supply-demand imbalance that has importantly contributed to nan value hike.
A caller study from nan Central Bank of Malta (CBM), featured successful nan Outlook for nan Maltese Economy, reveals that nan increasing disparity betwixt proviso and demand, on pinch escalating substance and operational expenses, has led to 1 of nan astir important airfare hikes successful Europe. The surge successful airfares acold surpasses Malta’s humanities mean ostentation complaint of 3.1%, pinch airfare prices continuing to emergence astatine an alarming pace—42% successful May and 25% successful June. These ongoing increases bespeak that nan value inclination is not conscionable a one-off, but a persistent issue.
In contrast, ostentation for aerial rider carrier successful nan euro area was reported astatine 14% successful April 2025, illustrating really Malta’s airfare value spike has been not only much important but besides prolonged. Other tourism-heavy nations, including Greece and Spain, besides knowledgeable steep increases successful airfare prices, but dissimilar Malta, their ostentation rates began to normalise earlier successful nan year. This prolonged spike successful Malta sets it isolated from galore different countries facing akin challenges.
Airfare prices person go a important driver of wide ostentation successful Malta. In April 2025, nan surge successful airfares contributed 0.6 percent points to nan full ostentation rate, accounting for astir a 3rd of nan services-driven inflation. The Central Bank of Malta highlights that this value escalation stems from a operation of beardown request and supply-side constraints. The tourism sector, which suffered a melodramatic illness during nan pandemic, has rebounded sharply. Since early 2023, inbound and outbound flights person consistently exceeded 2019 levels. In fact, inbound tourism has grown by an awesome 38% connected mean since 2024, outpacing Greece’s maturation of 26%. Passenger movements successful 2025 person averaged 42% supra 2019 levels, which has placed immense unit connected nan disposable spot capacity.
Despite an summation successful spot availability—up 17% complete 2019 levels successful 2024 and 35% higher successful 2025—capacity has not been capable to meet nan soaring demand. A cardinal illustration of this imbalance is seen successful February 2025, erstwhile rider movements were up by 56% compared to February 2019, while spot capacity had risen by only 47%. This spread betwixt request and proviso has been a important facet successful nan melodramatic summation successful airfares.
In summation to nan supply-demand mismatch, airlines proceed to look higher operational costs. A awesome contributing facet is nan value of pitchy fuel. During nan 2022 power crisis, crude lipid prices peaked astatine \$125 per barrel, which led to a crisp summation successful pitchy substance prices. While Brent crude lipid prices person since decreased, nan costs of pitchy substance remains elevated, and broader increases successful hose expenses person only added to nan financial strain. In 2024, pitchy substance prices were down by 12% compared to nan erstwhile year, but they are still precocious compared to pre-pandemic levels.
Looking ahead, nan Central Bank of Malta forecasts that airfare ostentation will stay elevated done nan first half of 2026 earlier gradually easing. This easing is expected to beryllium driven by falling crude lipid prices, which are anticipated to stabilise summons prices. Additionally, a slowdown successful nan gait of request maturation could further thief trim inflationary pressures. Airfare ostentation is expected to return to its semipermanent mean of astir 3% by 2027.However, different factors are expected to power this trend, perchance prolonging nan precocious value levels.
One specified facet is nan European Union’s Emissions Trading System for aviation. By 2026, nan strategy will shape retired free allowances for airlines, which will consequence successful higher costs for nan assemblage arsenic portion of efforts to combat ambiance change. Airlines will look accrued financial burdens arsenic they are forced to acquisition emanation allowances, which could thrust up operational costs and, successful turn, effect airfare prices.
Another important situation for airlines is nan increasing costs of Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF). SAF, which is considered a cleaner replacement to accepted pitchy fuel, was priced astatine 3.1 times nan costs of accepted pitchy substance successful 2024. It is expected to emergence to 4.2 times nan costs successful 2025, making it an moreover much costly option. SAF accumulation is presently limited, which adds further unit to nan already strained hose sector. This summation successful substance costs, coupled pinch ongoing precocious demand, could slow nan return to much emblematic airfare value levels, further complicating nan situation.
Malta is facing an unprecedented forty-six percent summation successful airfare prices successful 2025, driven by soaring post-pandemic recreation request and constricted hose capacity. This surge is importantly impacting nan economy, pinch airfares now a awesome contributor to nan country’s inflation.
The operation of beardown post-pandemic tourism recovery, an imbalance betwixt proviso and demand, precocious operational costs, and outer factors for illustration emanation regulations and nan rising costs of replacement fuels presents a challenging outlook for airfares successful Malta. While nan Central Bank of Malta projects a gradual easing of airfare ostentation by 2027, it is clear that nan betterment successful aerial recreation prices will beryllium a slow and analyzable process. Passengers and nan hose manufacture alike will request to navigate these challenges successful nan coming years, arsenic nan pressures connected airfares proceed to style Malta’s economical landscape.